France
Independent analytics · 48 teams · 104 matches
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France
Iraq
Argentina
Austria
What-If Simulator
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Simulation depth
900 Monte Carlo runs · smoother odds
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Mexico–South Africa
South Korea–Czechia
Czechia–South Africa
Mexico–South Korea
South Africa–South Korea
Czechia–Mexico
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts | Qualify |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Mexico | 0 | 0 | 0 | 82% |
| 2 | South Korea | 0 | 0 | 0 | 76% |
| 3 | Czechia | 0 | 0 | 0 | 71% |
| 4 | South Africa | 0 | 0 | 0 | 46% |
Green = top two (qualify) · Amber = third place (best-third race)
Enter a score or auto-fill the slate to see how qualification chances shift.
Groups
Probabilities are generated using simulated remaining matches and current group standings.
| 1 | Mexico | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | Likely |
| 2 | South Korea | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | Likely |
| 3 | Czechia | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | Uncertain |
| 4 | South Africa | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | Uncertain |
Mexico84%40%
27%
21%
12%
South Korea75%28%
29%
24%
19%
Czechia69%22%
26%
29%
23%
South Africa45%10%
17%
26%
46%
| 1 | Switzerland | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | Likely |
| 2 | Canada | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | Likely |
| 3 | Qatar | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | At risk |
| 4 | Bosnia & Herzegovina | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | Uncertain |
Switzerland91%50%
28%
15%
7%
Canada81%28%
34%
25%
14%
Qatar33%6%
11%
27%
55%
Bosnia & Herzegovina67%16%
27%
32%
24%
| 1 | Brazil | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | Likely |
| 2 | Morocco | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | Likely |
| 3 | Scotland | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | Uncertain |
| 4 | Haiti | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | At risk |
Brazil98%63%
28%
8%
1%
Morocco93%29%
47%
21%
4%
Scotland68%8%
21%
56%
16%
Haiti12%1%
4%
15%
80%
| 1 | United States | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | Likely |
| 2 | Australia | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | Uncertain |
| 3 | Türkiye | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | Likely |
| 4 | Paraguay | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | Uncertain |
United States80%35%
27%
22%
16%
Australia54%15%
20%
30%
36%
Türkiye77%33%
28%
23%
17%
Paraguay60%18%
25%
26%
32%
| 1 | Germany | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | Likely |
| 2 | Ecuador | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | Likely |
| 3 | Ivory Coast | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | Likely |
| 4 | Curaçao | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | At risk |
Germany98%65%
24%
10%
2%
Ecuador86%21%
40%
31%
8%
Ivory Coast79%13%
33%
45%
9%
Curaçao11%1%
3%
15%
81%
| 1 | Netherlands | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | Likely |
| 2 | Japan | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | Likely |
| 3 | Tunisia | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | Uncertain |
| 4 | Sweden | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | Uncertain |
Netherlands93%58%
26%
11%
5%
Japan81%27%
36%
25%
13%
Tunisia38%5%
15%
30%
49%
Sweden56%11%
23%
34%
32%
| 1 | Belgium | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | Likely |
| 2 | Iran | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | Likely |
| 3 | Egypt | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | Likely |
| 4 | New Zealand | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | At risk |
Belgium98%68%
22%
8%
2%
Iran76%15%
37%
34%
14%
Egypt73%15%
32%
37%
16%
New Zealand22%2%
9%
21%
68%
| 1 | Spain | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | Likely |
| 2 | Uruguay | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | Likely |
| 3 | Saudi Arabia | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | Uncertain |
| 4 | Cape Verde | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | At risk |
Spain99%73%
23%
4%
1%
Uruguay91%23%
56%
17%
5%
Saudi Arabia38%2%
13%
46%
38%
Cape Verde23%2%
8%
33%
57%
| 1 | France | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | Likely |
| 2 | Senegal | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | Likely |
| 3 | Norway | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | Likely |
| 4 | Iraq | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | At risk |
France98%68%
22%
8%
2%
Senegal77%14%
33%
41%
12%
Norway83%17%
40%
35%
9%
Iraq14%1%
5%
16%
78%
| 1 | Argentina | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | Likely |
| 2 | Austria | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | Likely |
| 3 | Algeria | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | Uncertain |
| 4 | Jordan | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | At risk |
Argentina98%73%
20%
5%
1%
Austria82%17%
45%
28%
10%
Algeria65%8%
28%
44%
20%
Jordan19%2%
7%
23%
68%
| 1 | Portugal | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | Likely |
| 2 | Colombia | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | Likely |
| 3 | Uzbekistan | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | Uncertain |
| 4 | DR Congo | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | At risk |
Portugal97%65%
26%
7%
2%
Colombia92%29%
51%
15%
5%
Uzbekistan39%3%
15%
41%
42%
DR Congo28%2%
9%
37%
52%
| 1 | England | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | Likely |
| 2 | Croatia | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | Likely |
| 3 | Panama | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | At risk |
| 4 | Ghana | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | Uncertain |
England97%66%
25%
7%
2%
Croatia90%26%
48%
19%
6%
Panama25%3%
9%
30%
59%
Ghana50%5%
18%
44%
33%
The 2026 twist
Hidden until you create a group-stage scenario. Eight third-placed teams survive; four don't.
Best-third race is hidden for now.
Enter group scores, auto-fill the groups, or finish a live simulation to reveal the third-place table.
Knockouts
The bracket starts empty and builds from the group results you enter or simulate.
Round of 32 appears only after you create a group-stage scenario. Third-place teams are assigned to legal "3rd place from" pools from your scenario. Tap a team to advance them; your bracket saves automatically in this browser.
This bracket is synced to your group-stage scenario: 0 scorelines applied. Enter scores or run live simulation first.
Bracket is waiting for a complete group stage.
Add manual group scores, use Auto-fill all groups, or run the live simulator. The Round of 32 will build from those results.
Path to Final
Projected opponents appear after your group-stage scenario creates a knockout field.
Algeria
Austria
JordanDaily Briefing
Tue, 16 Jun 2026
⭐ Match of the day
⚡ Upset alert
New Zealand has a 15% win chance — upset watch is low.
👀 Group to watch
Group I is the tightest race on today's slate — qualification odds are nearly level between today's opponents.
Forecast pick of the day
Norway to win (76% confidence).
🌍 Fan pick of the day
Norway — backed by 88% of fan votes.
🧮 Qualification scenario of the day
A win for France today would strengthen their grip on Group I; a draw keeps the door open for everyone. Try it in the What-If Simulator.
Tournament Rules
48
teams in 12 groups of 4
3 matches each
24
top-two finishers advance
1st + 2nd of every group
+8
best third-placed teams
ranked across all 12 groups
= 32 teams → Round of 32 → Round of 16 → Quarter-finals → Semi-finals → Final
48 teams are split into 12 groups of 4. Each team plays 3 group matches. The top two teams in every group advance, and the 8 best third-placed teams across all groups join them — 32 teams total move to the knockout rounds.
Finish 1st or 2nd in your group and you are through automatically. Finish 3rd and you enter the best-third-place race: all 12 third-placed teams are ranked together, and the top 8 qualify.
By points first, then goal difference, then goals scored. If teams are still level, fair-play record and official ranking criteria apply.
It is the first knockout round — 32 teams, 16 matches, win or go home. From here every match must produce a winner: extra time, then penalties if needed.